## Misinterpretation flattening the US log graph...

Maple

Something a while ago made me wonder if people were interpretting the results of flattening the covid19 curve wrong.  Log graphs are good way to display a wide range of data in a compact way, but if you can't interpret it properly then you might as well think apples are oranges.  There was something someone said not to long ago that I didn't believe.  That person was Dr. Fauci, an American physician and immunologist who served as the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases since 1984.  On April 9, 2020 he said, on the final death toll of the U.S. for Coronavirus, and I quote "looks more like 60,000 than the 100,000 to 200,000" U.S. officials had previously estimated ...  Back then I thought he was wrong, and actually now, he is wrong.

Some people just don't understand log graphs and I believe a lot of people are misinterpretting them.  Take a linear graph increasing in time and put it on a log scale and you naturally get a "flattening" curve without even doing anything.  But let's see what Dr. Fauci was seeing, and how he and likely many others, are misinterpretting the graphs.

Taking data from Worldometers.info/coronavirus we gather the total deaths

We will graph the data from when there were more than 100 deaths and up until April 9th when he made his prediction.

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Just by looking at the graph you  can imagine Dr. Fauci saying look at that graph starting to level off and he would extrapolate an imaginary line that could if you wanted to level off around where he said 60,000.  And that's the confusion people have with these log graphs - people misinterpret them.

Here's what it looks like today

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One still could think and interpret that graph at levelling off to maybe 100,000.  I sense another Dr. Fauci prediction?

Let's take a look at the linear graph

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